Platense (Argentina) vs Fluminense (Brazil)
Platense put in a respectable performance away to Fluminense, but a few costly mistakes ultimately saw them lose 2–0. They now need to win by at least two goals at home to avoid bringing their first, historic international campaign to an end. On Saturday, with some rotation, Martín Palermo’s side lost 2–1 away to Estudiantes, leaving them with nine points from nine matches in the Torneo Clausura and well outside the playoff places. El Calamar are winless in their last five matches across all competitions (two draws and three defeats in regular time). At home, they have gone seven matches without a win (five draws and two defeats). Fluminense took a huge step towards another Copa Libertadores semi-final, making a difficult tie look straightforward with a 2–0 home win over Platense, with goals from Nonato and Hulk. On Saturday, Marcão’s side lost 3–1 away to Atlético Mineiro. The defeat left them fourth in the Brasileirao with 45 points from 27 matches and ended their eight-match unbeaten run across all competitions (four wins and four draws in regular time). Away, Fluminense are winless in their last 12 matches, with eight draws and four defeats. Platense needs almost a miracle to turn around last week’s 0-2 defeat and advance to the semifinals, but even if they don’t they will definitely need to take risks so this short totals line is worth a bet.