Aston Villa vs Manchester City
I am betting Villa +1 and under 3.25 goals scored, I am surprised their odds are so big for this game even though it is City they are playing, Villa have been improving as the season has progressed they had a lot of change over the summer with a lot of new players coming in but they look like they are finally clicking into gear, they won at Tottenham and followed it up win a home draw with Brentford in a game they were the better team in and again last weekend they travelled to Newcastle and won, not to mention victories over Fenerbahçe and Viking in the Champions league. City have an air vulnerability about them for me especially in the league, they were ordinary in their won last weekend over Ipswich Town and I thought the midweek match v AEK Athens flattered them a bit, for me Villa are a bet on a big handicap at home and happy to bet them as they’re one of the inform teams in England at present with 5 wins from 6 games. I think Villa can sit deep and frustrate City and I think the goal line is too high for this game and the way Villa set up should suit betting under 3.25 goals.